IRR Calculator

Model recoup and cash flow scenarios, export reports.

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Deal Setup

Overwrite the default values to model your forecasts.

Project Name

Street Date

Year 1 Forecasted Streams

Total streams in Year 1 (multiplied by Rev Factor to get revenue).

100% Recoup Budget (Advances)

Fully recoupable spend (advances, recording).

50% Recoup Budget (Promo)

Project COGS.

Physical Mfg Cost

Total cost to manufacture physical goods.

Physical Revenue Multiple

Expected ROI multiple on mfg cost.

Forecast Confidence: 70% — Moderate

How confident are you in your forecast? Higher = tighter bands (P5/Mean/P95 closer together). Lower = wider uncertainty.

Advanced assumptions

Discount Rate (annual, %)

For implied NPV later, if you want it.

Artist Royalty Split (%)

Share of net revenues paid to the artist after recoup.

Distributor Fee (%)

Only needed if we later back into net from gross streaming.

Years to Map

Number of forecast years (e.g., 10).

Revenue per Stream (Rev Factor)

Used to convert revenues into streaming forecasts.

Mu (annual growth/decay, %)

Centerline annual change in revenue (negative = decay).

Total Budget Outlay

100% recoup + 50% promo (full spend). This is your initial investment.

IRR (Label)

–

IRR on label cash flows (Deterministic).
Low (P5): – | High (P95): –

NPV (Label)

–

Net Present Value of label cash flows (Discount Rate applied).

IRR Rating

–

Context based on IRR performance.

Streaming / Revenue Forecast

Year 1 Monthly Streaming Forecast

Month	P5 Streams	Mean Streams	P95 Streams

Annual Streaming Forecast

Year	P5 Streams	Mean Streams	P95 Streams

Recoupment J-Curve (Mean)

Mean simulation: cumulative label cash flow vs. artist ledger. The $0 line is the recoup threshold.

Label expected to recoup after – years

Artist expected to recoup after – years